Editor’s Note: As Chief Investment Strategist of Total Wealth, Keith believes in making his track record of recommendations easily accessible to all readers within seconds – and that’s why he’s compiled an Archives page. Here you’ll find links to every Total Wealth article Keith has published since Total Wealth’s creation on October 2, 2014, posted in reverse chronological order.
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Mar 21, 2016
I committed the equivalent of financial heresy in late December 2013 and again in January 2015 when I said Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) was a bug in search of a windshield and recommended shorting the stock. The blogosphere went nuts and I was taken to task by Twitter-lievers.
Since then the stock has fallen 63.31% from a high of $74.73 to a low of $27.04. It’s rebounded slightly in recent trading and the rally cry has begun anew…
…Twitter Interim CEO Dorsey Buys More Shares In Show of Faith – Reuters
…Twitter Rebounds: Here’s Why You Should Be Buying Shares – Bloomberg
…Jack Dorsey and Other Twitter Insiders Make Show of Support – The New York Times
Don’t buy it for a New York minute.
The company still has serious problems, and the narrative you’re hearing is intended to do one thing and one thing only… separate you from your money.
We’re going to talk about that today because knowing what not to buy is every bit as important a Total Wealth Tactic as knowing what to buy.
Here’s why Twitter stock is still a disaster waiting to happen.
Charles Schwab told CNBC earlier this week that he would never buy the money-losing companies going public these days.
Neither would I.
This year’s initial public offerings have been the least profitable of any year since the tech bubble nearly 20 years ago. They’re a sham being foisted upon unsuspecting investors.
WeWork, a media darling that Wall Street loved to talk about, is a particularly egregious example.
The workspace sharing company was supposedly worth $47 billion just prior to pulling its offering according to greedy lawyers, Silicon Valley execs, and angel investors – all of whom were hoping you wouldn’t notice that the math doesn’t add up.
I only wish the company had blown up sooner.
I hate playing the role of a spoiler when there’s $25 billion on the line, but that’s exactly what I’ve got to do today.
At the risk of shattering dreams from here to Saigon and annoying every venture capitalist in between…
Snapchat may be the single most dangerous IPO in history…
There’s only one way it fits in your portfolio.
Oct 07, 2016
Why did Twitter’s stock drop like a hot potato yesterday?
Millions of people think they know the answer, which is great. However, the far more relevant (and profitable) question is why on earth millions of investors would have bet otherwise??!!
There are far more profitable alternatives out there and, I might add, that come with far less risk.
Including the two I’m going to mention today.
Microsoft announced Monday that it was buying LinkedIn for a staggering $26.2 billion, and Twitter jumped as high as 4.57% through mid-day trading on nothing more than the hope that the beleaguered media company would be next.
Individual investors and analysts alike believe that the deal will lead to more high profile social media acquisitions.
Don’t bet on it.
Twitter is still a dog and has been for a long time. What’s more, Microsoft has a long history of overpaying for… well… just about everything.
Today we’re going to talk about what’s really driving the Microsoft buy and how to handle Twitter if you’re tempted to pile on.
I just about fell out of bed this morning when I rolled over to scan the first of hundreds of headlines I look at when my day starts, and saw this from IBTimes:
…”Hope Is Not A Strategy” For Twitter
Not that I’m surprised somebody else finally caught on and called the one-time media darling for what it is, only that it’s taken so long for everybody to glom on to what we’ve been discussing since the company IPO’d, in 2013… and used almost the exact language I have to describe the situation since.
But, there’s something else you should know.
It’s a shocking “secret” that most investors will never understand: the numbers have never lied, and when it comes to much bally-hooed companies like Twitter, they never do.
That’s what we’re going to talk about today.
As always, I’m going to give you a viable alternative and suggestions on the tactics you need to make the jump.
We’ve talked a lot about why you want to pay attention to what Wall Street does, not what it says. Today we’re going to tackle that subject again.
Because you’ve got another king-sized opportunity on your hands, or at least that’s what one analyst wants you to think.
Before I tell you what it is, though, I have to begin with a story that sets the stage. So grab a cup of your favorite libation and take a seat.
What you do next has a direct impact on your financial future…
Conventional wisdom is that “rising water raises all boats” but that’s not always the case.
In fact, not a single one of the four stocks we’ve targeted as being ripe for a fall has gone along for the ride despite the fact that the S&P 500 tacked on 8.8% last month and the Dow moved higher by 9.15% over the same time frame.
All four of the companies I told you were ripe for failure are down double digits since I brought them to your attention as short candidates: Zoey’s Kitchen Inc. (NYSE:ZOE), Twitter Inc. (NYSE:TWTR), GoPro Inc. (NasdaqGS:GPRO), and Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK).
Today I want to briefly check in on each and, of course, tell you how to position your money. It’s not too late to get on board and you haven’t missed the trade.
These stocks still have plenty of downside ahead.
Here’s what you need to know about how to play the situation .
Apple’s most recent earnings were nothing short of spectacular, and the headlines reflected that:
… Apple Beats Estimates on Soaring iPhone Sales – The Street
… Apple Beats Estimates with $10.2 Billion in Profit – Appleinsider.com
… Apple Crushes iPhone Estimates, Boosts Buybacks – CNBC
What they should have said is “Analysts Got It Wrong Again.”
We’ve talked in the past about how far off the mark Wall Street analysts can be, and how costly that can be for investors who blindly follow along. It’s no surprise – or at least it shouldn’t be – given the hidden biases Wall Street holds.
But we haven’t talked about is how to use that information to your advantage.
Here are the two best presents analysts could possibly give you this earnings season.