Shah Gilani's Archive
Shah Gilani
Wall Street superstar and former hedge fund manager Shah Gilani is the Chief Investment Strategist of Manward Press and at the helm of the Manward Money Report newsletter and the Launch Investor and Alpha Money Flow trading services. He’s a sought-after market commentator and has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business and Bloomberg TV. He’s also been quoted in The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times and The Washington Post, and he’s had columns published in Forbes.
In 1982, he launched his first hedge fund from his seat on the floor of the Chicago Board Options Exchange. He worked in the pit as a market maker when options on the S&P 100 Index first began trading… and was part of a handful of traders who laid the technical groundwork for what would eventually become the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX). He also ran the futures and options division at the largest retail bank in Britain. Shah gained notoriety for calling the implosion of U.S. financial markets (all the way back in February 2008) AND the mega bull run that followed.
Now at the helm of Manward, Shah is focused tightly on one goal: To do his part to make subscribers wealthier, happier and more free.
Market Volatility is Your Next Chance at a 100% Profit
As I write this, 2022 is shaping up to be the year of volatility. While that may frighten timid investors, I see it as a huge opportunity. Thursday’s rout sent the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and DOW tumbling 4.99%, 3.56% and 3.12%, respectively – but it also sent the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) up as […]
Protect Your Money from the Fed’s BS with New Oil Plays
I hope you didn’t get suckered in by the Fed this week. Wednesday’s rally, which came just after the Fed announced a 50 basis point hike in the fed funds rate (instead of 75), wasn’t a sign to run back into the markets.
That was nothing but short covering. The markets are down again today and the trend is likely to continue downward until the Fed changes course. And it will.
Until then, we need to stick with what’s working, with the tried and true companies still making great earnings, to turn a profit – and I’ve got just the plays for you.
Watch today’s Buy, Sell, or Hold by clicking the video below, or go here to read the transcript.
The Fed is Almost Always Wrong, and That Gives Us a New Opportunity
Every bond and stock investor knows at least one Wall Street saying regarding Fed policy moves. Some of them are: “Never fight the Fed,” “Follow the Fed,” and “Don’t fade the Fed.” They’re good advice, but only to a point. That point is usually where the Fed is wrong and has to turn tail, which […]
Oil Industry Doubled Its Profits, Now It’s Your Turn
The price of oil and gas is soaring once again. According to AAA, Americans pay around $4.20 per gallon at the pump. That’s not great for us, but oil and gas companies are breaking records. Some are reporting doubled (or, in Chevron’s case, quadrupled) earnings, and I think it’s time we get a share of […]
Invest in These Two Giants Before Fed Policy Triggers Rush into Big Tech
I think 2022 and early 2023 will be the year of big tech growth stocks.
You heard me right. I said “growth” stocks, not “value” stocks.
Since mid-2021, the market started pricing in higher interest rates. That impacted the valuation of tech companies based on discounted cash flow pricing models. And that, in turn, drove prices down on most tech growth stocks.
Now though, with the U.S. economy posting negative GDP last week, the Federal Reserve will have to tread very carefully regarding its interest rate policy.
If the Fed indicates any dovish change in its longer-term interest rate policy, we could see a huge rush of capital back into big tech growth stocks.
I don’t think the Fed will change its narrative anytime soon (for risk of losing credibility). Still, traders are going to see the same opportunity I’m seeing, and that’s going to cause small rallies as traders start to position themselves for the future in big tech companies like this one.
Read on to learn how you can position yourself for the future with two new trades.
Three Toxic Stocks to Sell ASAP
Every week, my inbox is flooded with questions, many of which can be summed up simply as, “Which of these stocks should I buy?” But, in times like these, I think the more important question to ask is, “Which stocks should I sell?” Making real money in volatile markets isn’t just a matter of buying […]
How You Should Play the Fed’s Punch-Drunk Plan to Fight Inflation
A year ago, the Fed had no plan to combat rising prices. Now they want the world to know they’ve got a plan to beat back what looks like increasingly sticky inflation because now their credibility is at stake.
That plan, which should be pre-set, steady, transparent, and formally announced as “forward guidance,” is instead going to be made up every six weeks when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets.
Whether to raise the fed funds rate 25 basis points, 50 basis points, or 75 basis points (a basis point is one one-hundredth of a percentage point) at the FOMC’s upcoming May 3-4 meeting, or any subsequent meeting, isn’t set. And that is upending both stock and bond markets, and proof the Fed’s out of control.
The Fed raising rates isn’t going to kill inflation. There’s no way they could ever raise rates enough to kill it, and that gives us an opportunity.
Read more about the Fed’s inevitable failure to fix inflation and how you should play it.
Don’t Follow the Crowd: AMZN Is Still Investment Worthy
The supply chain nightmare is catching up to e-commerce heavyweight Amazon.com (AMZN).
This time last year, analysts’ consensus estimates put AMZN’s earnings per share (EPS) at $15.79. In anticipation of this Thursday’s earnings report, that estimate fell 40%. That’s a huge year-over-year crunch – one that made some investors sell one of the best long-term investments out there.
As I mentioned in Monday’s Watchlist, sometimes the best way to profit is by going against the grain. Now, I’m saying it again. Don’t follow the crowd.
If Amazon reports EPS below $9.22, buy the dip – and I’ll tell you why in today’s video.
When Your NFLX Trades Go Against the Grain, You Could Reap 100% Gains
Sometimes, the best short-term trades are simply a matter of going against the grain.
When everybody is on one side of a trade, there comes a point when the best risk/reward scenario comes from betting against the herd. Legendary investor Jim Rogers compares this to everyone getting one side of a boat. When that happens, he says you probably want to be on the other side of that same boat…
Or risk getting dumped in the water as the boat tips.
Speaking of investors all being on one side of the boat, Wednesday was a pretty darn spectacular day where Netflix Inc. (NFLX) is concerned. The company reported results for the first quarter that missed various estimates, and the stock dropped nearly 40% before rebounding slightly in early Friday trading.
That’s what I call a serious beatdown. An overblown beatdown, at that, but we can use it to our advantage.
Click here to learn just how to play NFLX to reap 100% gains.
Precious Metals are a Waste of Your Capital, Invest in These Banks Instead
There was a running theme this week in the stocks you sent me: metals.
Gold, silver… precious metals that everyone expected to pop with the war in Ukraine raging on – but that’s not what’s happening. Frankly, GLD, GDX, and SLV are a waste of your capital right now. There may be a little bit more upside to each, so put your trailing stops in place, take your profits, and get out.
There are better places to put your money, including an ETF trade and a few of my favorite banks.
Check out my video below to learn more or click here to read today’s transcript.