Shah Gilani's Archive
Shah Gilani
Wall Street superstar and former hedge fund manager Shah Gilani is the Chief Investment Strategist of Manward Press and at the helm of the Manward Money Report newsletter and the Launch Investor and Alpha Money Flow trading services. He’s a sought-after market commentator and has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business and Bloomberg TV. He’s also been quoted in The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times and The Washington Post, and he’s had columns published in Forbes.
In 1982, he launched his first hedge fund from his seat on the floor of the Chicago Board Options Exchange. He worked in the pit as a market maker when options on the S&P 100 Index first began trading… and was part of a handful of traders who laid the technical groundwork for what would eventually become the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX). He also ran the futures and options division at the largest retail bank in Britain. Shah gained notoriety for calling the implosion of U.S. financial markets (all the way back in February 2008) AND the mega bull run that followed.
Now at the helm of Manward, Shah is focused tightly on one goal: To do his part to make subscribers wealthier, happier and more free.
Look Out Below: The Mortgage Market Is About to Revisit 2008 Crisis Woes
If you thought the worst of the financial crisis was way behind us, you’re about to get a rude awakening.
Mortgage Massacre 2.0 is right around the corner.
Where All the Money’s Going in the Market Is Where You Should be Going Too
According to the Investment Company institute (ICI), year-to-date, investors have taken some $291 billion out of mutual funds and exchange traded funds.
But that’s not the whole story.
The ICI’s numbers represent net flows, meaning there were inflows, but they were dwarfed by outflows.
The story isn’t about net outflows, it’s about where the money went that flowed into the market.
Here’s where most of the money went and why you should follow it…
Capital Wave Forecast: Get It While You Can
I’m going to let Janis Joplin tell you what to expect and what to do with equity markets this week and this month.
“Get it while you can.”
That title lyric was on Janis’ 1971 posthumous album Pearl, and it’s what investors need to remind themselves to do.
Because the dramatic bounce off the March lows has maybe a little more to go, at least for some stocks, before markets give up the ghost of depressions past and head back down to earth, maybe below, meaning towards the fiery place way under our feet.
The Great Oil Spill Courtesy of USO and China
Shah here.
Keith started the story last week: he exposed the oil crisis and what was driving it, but the story has developed and as your new editor of Total Wealth, I am thrilled to continue the story.
To those who have been following Keith at Total Wealth for any amount of time: I promise I won’t let you down. I have worked very closely with him for twenty years, and our mottos are very similar. At the end of the day, we know there’s a way to make money – at all times – and we are dedicated to bringing those opportunities to you.
To those of you who have been following me for any amount of time: Thank you for your continued support! I look forward to continuing our journey together, bringing down the Wall Street fat cats and ringing out the stock market for every penny we can.
Capital Wave Forecast: Signs of Optimism Despite the Economy Slip-Up
Despite the economy heading down a rabbit hole, stock markets are looking up, not down.
It doesn’t matter that it seems crazy, and it yet may be just that, but investors are betting the worst’s behind us, at least for markets, and the other side of all the panic and shutting down is here.
After all, countries are reopening. Businesses are reopening. And people just want to go out…
Coronavirus-Created Paradigm Shifts: How We Live, Work, Invest Is All Changing
The novel coronavirus isn’t new anymore, it’s everywhere and disrupting how we live, work, and invest.
Major paradigm shifts are already underway. Here’s how life as we know it is changing.
Major paradigm shifts are already underway. Here’s how life as we know it is changing…
Passive Investing’s Dirty Little Secret: It’s All Good, Until It Isn’t
The secret momentum driver elevating market indexes to all-time highs, again and again, is none-other than the “passive investing” trend. It’s going on unbeknownst to even the drivers of this momentum bus.
Investors who don’t understand how big an impact money flowing into index funds has had on the market’s performance probably have no idea what could happen if the trend stalls, or worse, reverses.
Here are the pitfalls of passive investing and how bad the fallout could be if passive investors discover the trap they’ve entered, turn active, and sell.
The almost self-perpetuating cycle of rising markets attracting passive investment capital into index products, which boosts the value of indexes as money flows into them, which attracts more sidelined money and compels investors to sell actively managed funds and buy passive index-following funds, which have been lowering their management fees since they aren’t actively managed, which attracts more investor capital into the growing universe of index funds, which keep increasing in value as sponsors and their authorized participants buy all the underlying stocks in the indexes they track when investors buy those packaged products in the open market, is, almost self-perpetuating.
But you know the saying, almost only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades.
The truth is passive investing’s virtuous positive momentum manufacturing feedback loop isn’t a guarantee.
How a Manufactured or Virtual Recession Could Cause a Market Crash
Not everyone likes to hear good news about the economy.
Typically, political parties out of power want to see seated opponents get clobbered by economic failure.
In this age a real, or virtual recession, could be manufactured given today’s media reach and technological tools when leading to an election if even just in the minds of voters.
So, you need to ask yourself: Is a recession being manufactured right now? Who benefits from a failing economy or just pushing the recession narrative? Could a manufactured recession or incessant recession fearmongering crash the stock market? And, what would happen to you?
Since you just asked by reading those questions, I’m going to answer them for you.
Only, you’re not going to like what’s really happening and how bad it’s going to get.
Lyft’s IPO Won’t Be Worth the Ride
There’s a magical unicorn coming our way, and we’re being offered a ride high into profitable skies if we grab its horn and jump on.
At least that’s what Lyft’s IPO bankers and early investors want us to believe.
The truth is there’s no such thing as a unicorn in real life (in business, a unicorn is a private company that investors claim is worth more than $1 billion), and Lyft isn’t any kind of highflying substitute.
What the upcoming Lyft IPO is more likely to be is a fat payday for bankers, underwriters, and especially early investors, and a bucking-off of late-to-the-party IPO share buyers.
The Frightening Truth Behind the Boeing 737 Max 8 Crashes
As if two new Boeing 737 Max 8 jets crashing and killing 346 people isn’t frightening enough, government investigations might reveal even more frightening news.
Like the fact that Boeing didn’t require pilots who were certified on 737s to get certified on the new Max 8 aircrafts.
Or like the fact that Boeing marketed the cost savings of the lack of these certifications as a positive.
These facts, and yes, they’re facts, not speculation, are just the tip of the iceberg that sank the Titanic, or rather, brought down the 737s.
Today, I’m going to tell you the real story of what happened, most of which has been kept from the public.
And, as a bonus, when Boeing flops, I’ll show you a way to play the airspace sector…