Editor’s Note: As Chief Investment Strategist of Total Wealth, Shah believes in making his track record of recommendations easily accessible to all readers within seconds – and that’s why he’s compiled an Archives page.
The markets could be rocked tomorrow by something called a Quadruple Witching Day, a day in which single-stock options, single-stock futures, and stock-index options and stock-index futures… the works are coming up for expiration. And depending on how the market closes today, we could see some major waves going into next week.
The One Thing I’m Watching Now – The FOMC and How to Protect Your Investments from a Worst-Case Scenario
As broad as the markets are, as vast as the economy is, as much data as there is to key in on out there, there’s one thing I’m watching now that matters more than everything else.
It’s what the Federal Reserve’s going to do, or not do, to interest rates.
Because based on what Fed members on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided in their two-day meeting, which gets released as their official “statement” today at 2:00 pm, will either calm markets or could knock them off their recent all-time highs, down maybe 10%-15%, or more.
All that stimulus money you’ve gotten, all the new stimulus money you’re going to get, don’t spend it. You’re going to need it when the inevitable Biden-Harris wealth wipeout hits you and the country.
Remember what I always say – it’s all good, until it isn’t.
You remember the Affordable Care Act and how good that was going to be, don’t you? Now politicians of the same ilk are making promises about how good life’s going to be with all the free money they’re showering on you.
But just like with Obamacare, which cost Americans dearly, this “free money” parlor game is more like a three-card monte. It’s sleight-of-hand; the money you’re getting isn’t free. Nothing’s ever free.
The truth is this brazen political coup is going to bankrupt you and America.
Here’s what one-sided, one-party, ramrodded legislation is really about, how it’s going to wipeout our democracy and your wealth.
On Tuesday I warned you the bond bogeyman was coming (click here to read that article), and he threatened the life of the “everything rally” we’ve been enjoying recently.
Now he’s here to stay, and he’s bringing a new normal with him. The question now is, with bond investors feeling the pain of rapidly rising rates on the long end of the curve and stock investors feeling their pain and even more of their own, how long will this new normal last?
And the truth is, you don’t want to hear this. So, if you’re sensitive or risk-averse, close out this article now.
But for those of you brave enough to handle what’s coming – and take advantage of the profit opportunities the bogeyman’s brought along with him…
Just when you thought it was safe to invest in anything and ride the “everything rally” to the moon, the bond bogeyman raised his scary head last week and sent shivers down every market’s spine.
The yield on the Treasury 10-year note had been ticking up, from an average of 0.65% through last summer, to 0.85% by late November, to 1.11% at the end of January, to last week when it shot up to 1.61% on Thursday.
Where did this bogeyman come from? And what does he want?
I don’t want to burst anyone’s bubble, especially not the everything rally’s party, but the benchmark 10-year Treasury rate is starting to look like the head of a pin.
Bubbling stocks and other inflated asset classes are in danger of popping if rates keep rising, and they sure look like they’re going to keep climbing. But even if the bubble pops, we can still turn a profit, and I’m going to tell you how.
Maybe you haven’t noticed, but everything’s rallying.
Every asset class, every tradable instrument is stampeding higher in its own bull market. There are many reasons for this, but that’s not what I want to talk about today.
Instead, today, I want to talk about cryptocurrencies, specifically Bitcoin, or bitcoin with a small “b.” Bitcoin’s been all over the news lately, and before you hop on its train to buy it, you have to know the facts.
It’s finally happened. Someone’s created the ultimate trading contract.
It’s something so simple; it’s a binary contract that you either bet “yes” or “no” on. It’s expansive, meaning you can bet on almost anything. It’s something that’s going to be insanely successful, meaning billions of contracts will trade every day. It’s something so cheap, meaning a contract will at most only ever cost $1.00. It’s something you’re going to trade.
What is it? Well… it’s Kalshi, a platform for anything and everything. And it’s going to revolutionize the game in more ways than one.
Enjoy your commission-free trading while it lasts. Because tomorrow, the House Financial Services Committee, chaired by uninformed and sometimes-unhinged California Democrat Maxine Waters, is going to rip into the fabric of what makes your trades free in the first place.
Let’s dive in…
Forget the Short Squeeze David vs. Goliath Battles: The Real War is Between Exchanges and the SEC, With Retail Investors in the Crosshairs
In case you haven’t noticed, and not many investors have, there’s a war going on right now between the exchanges and the SEC over the public’s right to get the same stock bid and ask price data that hedge funds, high frequency traders, and banks, pay through the nose for.
What you may know is, the exchanges operate what regulators and detractors call a two-tier system, providing the most basic “national best bid and offer” (NBBO) data to the public while selling “deep book” bid and offer price and size data via expensive “private feeds” to big boys.
The Securities and Exchange Commission is out to level the field for the little guys, but the exchanges are suing to stop new rules from being enacted.
The tail is wagging the dog these days and it’s making the exchanges nervous. They are trying to keep retail down and out, but a war is being waged in court to settle this once and for all.
Here’s what the war’s about and depending on if it’s won or lost, who wins and who loses.
Feb 09, 2021
Talk about paradigm shifts, but Amazon.com Inc. (NasdaqGS:AMZN) singlehandedly changed the way we shop, forever.
Now that Amazon’s founder, Jeff Bezos, is stepping down as CEO, investors want to know if Amazon’s stock, which seems like it’s been going up forever, can keep going. There are rumors that Bezos stepping down could signal the end of the stock’s run.
There are a few reasons why Bezos is giving up his crown, but it all boils down to one question: What does this transition mean for your money, whether you’ve owned Amazon for years, just picked up a share or two, or you don’t own it yet?
On Monday, I talked about our latest endeavor, going where Total Wealth has never gone before.
If you haven’t had a chance yet to read up on what it means for you, go here. In short, we’re now following Seven Seismic Shifts – seven themes that will provide us with the greatest moneymaking opportunities the world’s ever seen. The themes are 1) pandemics, 2) politics, 3) environment, 4) taxation and regulation, 5) trading and investing, 6) Federal Reserve insanity, and 7) China.
In keeping with our themes, today, we’re going where no retail traders or investors, especially those who scored huge gains driving up GameStop Corp. (NYSE:GME) and other highly shorted stocks, want regulators to go – because it would ruin the new game they just learned to play.
Seismic Shift #5 is about changes in how we trade and invest, and nothing’s more seismic than regulatory changes.
I’m not the kind of guy to say “I told you so,” but if I was, I’d sure be saying it now.
Retail traders have become the tail wagging the dog, with the dog being Wall Street pros.
GameStop Corp. (NYSE:GME) is exhibit 1.
What happened, and what’s going to happen with GameStop (and more than a few other companies’ stocks) is the story of how retail traders are ganging up on multi-billion-dollar hedge funds…
Here’s how they’re making a killing doing it.
Jan 21, 2021
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As of 12 noon today, the United States of America has a new president and a new vice president. The country also has a new Congress.
That means it’s time to buy some new stocks.
Right now is a good time to take the long view of what a Biden presidency and Democrat-led Congress will change about America. And by change, I mean how much money will the new government spend, and on what?