Editor’s Note: As Chief Investment Strategist of Total Wealth, Shah believes in making his track record of recommendations easily accessible to all readers within seconds – and that’s why he’s compiled an Archives page.
The free market isn’t free anymore, even though a lot of retired and soon-to-be retired folks think it is.
The truth is nothing in the capital markets moves freely anymore, especially interest rates.
Now, frighteningly, because America has morphed into a quasi-command economy where the Federal Reserve dictates economic policy, retirees don’t understand how dangerous most bonds and fixed income products have become in the new normal “socialized capital markets regime.”.
Here’s what’s being manipulated, why it’s bad, how it’s impacting fixed income investments, and what retirees and soon to be retired investors should be doing instead of putting themselves at great risk.
Jun 03, 2020
Airline stocks have been essentially grounded, for very good and obvious reasons.
But, like the rest of the stock market, as the airlines see the economy opening up, as the TSA tells us there are more travelers every day, as investors rotate into cyclical sectors and beaten down stocks, tarmac tied airline stocks should benefit, big time.
That said, timing the rise of airline stocks and choosing individual names isn’t the easiest game in town.
Fortunately, there’s a simple way to play the sector in one fell swoop.
The U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) is well worth looking at, if not taking a long-term position in.
This isn’t a new ETF that was put together so investors could suddenly jump into the beaten down sector. The JETS ETF has been around since 2015. But saying it’s been overlooked would be like calling the Grand Canyon a ditch.
No-one paid much attention to JETS, until it became a highflier recently.
Up until early March the fund had only about $33 million under management, that is tiny for an ETF.
As an investment or trading vehicle it was too small for me or my subscribers to bother with, primarily because of its thin daily volume and spreads that were too large to make getting in or out tenable.
Jun 03, 2020
There’s a good chance of a rally from here, Goldman Sachs reported, and Shah couldn’t agree more. We’re slowly gaining on the all-time highs, and we’re going to go higher. Click here to watch.
Jun 01, 2020
Like a runaway train the market kept barreling ahead last week, make that last month, make that the last two months, actually make that since the March 23, 2020 lows.
The S&P 500 ended last week up 3%. It ‘s up a whopping 17.79% in the last two months. And is up a mind-bending 36.06% from its March lows.
So far so good. But, there ‘s a problem. No one knows where the train tracks lead.
Markets could have gotten off track on Friday. The Dow was down about 300 points as nervous investors pared positions ahead of President Trump ‘s “conference.” But, instead of slamming China and ratcheting up rhetoric, or tossing trade war and tariff threats, the President just pointed a finger and repeated his displeasure with the Mainland ‘s heavy handedness over Hong Kong ‘s future.
And back up went stocks.
Jun 01, 2020
Big box stores like Walmart and Target are closing their doors to protect against looting and rioting, and, in a recession and a pandemic, how will the economy react? Not badly, according to Shah Gilani. Here’s what he’s concerned about. Click here to watch
May 29, 2020
Just about everything in our lives is different, no thanks to the novel coronavirus.
One glaring difference is how retail investors have plunged into the stock market since COVID-19 slammed markets and shutdown the country.
While that’s different enough, what’s vastly different is retail investors, instead of typically selling at the bottom of a plunge, started buying early, have been buyers all the way up, and according to Goldman Sachs research, with their whacky list of favorite stocks have beaten hedge funds and their top holdings.
Since a ZeroHedge article earlier this week pointed out, “After years of trying and failing to sucker in retail investors into the stock market to allow a long-overdue distribution from top shareholders to mom and pop bagholders, as has been the trend heading into every prior recession…” maybe it’s time to ask, with stocks racing higher heading into another recession, is the new retail trend dangerous?
The answer is “no,” it’s not dangerous, at least not yet. But, “yet” could be any day now.
There’s a difference.
A rally won’t let you down. In fact, a rally will give you an opportunity to make money, hand over fist, four days a week… and it only takes one hour per day.
My friend and colleague, Andrew Keene, has devised a system that can make you four-figure windfalls, every day, four days a week.
And it only takes an hour, every day.
You don’t have to take my word for it. Just ask Steve Milton, who made $250,000 with Andrew’s system.
Or Carrie Saunders, who made $3,000… three days in a row.
Or Mark Befano, who made $706,000 in only one year.
Andrew’s system made it possible for these folks to grab mind-boggling windfalls, and he can do the same for you.
He’s willing to share his secrets, all you have to do is click here.
Summer’s not officially here yet, but the heat sure is. Markets are sizzling and investors are feeling it.
It’s Risk On, all the way.
Until of course the heat wave investors are enjoying gets dumped on by any number of named storms brewing out on the near horizon.
Bella-Bankruptcy, Brad-Breadth, Elanor-Unemployment, Maggie-Mortgage, Ralph-Retail, and Ollie-Overpriced. They’re just tropical depressions according to bullish forecasters. At least they are for now.
Thousands of American companies are sliding towards bankruptcy. Many of them are publicly traded companies.
The Federal Reserve’s buying some failing companies’ bonds in an effort to keep them alive.
It’s not going to work.
The coming tidal wave of bankruptcies will overwhelm the Fed’s rescue efforts and could sink the stock market.
The Federal Reserve’s promised to be the support pillar that holds up America’s capital markets. And they’ve promised to hold up the economy.
Too bad the price America’s paying is our way of life.
May 20, 2020
Permanent damage has been done to the economy. Small businesses have closed their doors and some won’t reopen, and one in four restaurants won’t be reopening after the shutdown. It’s time to reopen, before things get worse. Click here to watch
Can we talk, about earnings? Let’s.
But, first, listen to what Randall W. Forsyth said to open his column titled Up and Down Wall Street this Saturday in Barron’s. He said, “The good news is the bad news can’t get worse.”
Sadly, it can. That includes earnings.
With more than 90% of S&P 500 companies reporting last week, quarterly earnings look like they’ll be down 13.8% from Q1 2019.
Maybe that’s why markets sold off last week.
The Dow lost 645.90 points on the week, closing down 2.7% at 23,685.42. The S&P 500 closed the week down 2.3%, its worst week since March 20. And the Nasdaq composite closed the week down 1.2%.
What’s interesting, in hindsight, which I’ll get to in a second, is that the Dow dropped 1,083.32 over the first three days of the week, closing Wednesday at 23,247.97, down 516.81, or 2.17% that day.
The hindsight here comes to us courtesy of Sunday’s 60 Minutes show. The big-deal guest interview yesterday was with Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Only, Jerome wasn’t on live yesterday. The show was taped from the Fed’s Washington D.C. headquarters on Wednesday, after the Dow dropped more than 1,000 points over the first three days of trading last week.
It’s not normal for the Fed chairman to grant an interview to 60 Minutes, especially in the middle of a crisis. Did the Chairman offer 60 Minutes the interview? Maybe. Because if markets were to continue getting hit Thursday and Friday, they’d be in bad shape come Monday morning, today, and a further route would be entirely possible.
May 18, 2020
You’ve got to hand it to the individual investors who’ve made money off the lows. It’s not the hedge funds, the mutual funds, the Wall Street bigwigs; it’s the mom-and-pop investors, the passive investors, and the young people who are driving the markets back up. Click here to watch
To make money in the stock market investors need to know how bad the recession’s going to be and how the market’s going to react to economic conditions.
One surefire way to gauge what’s going on in the economy and gauge what the market thinks about economic prospects, as well as divine the market’s direction, is by watching bank stocks.
Banks are a bellwether for the economy and the market.
Last Friday, I gave you this warning: The mortgage market is once again in danger, only this time the damage is going to be a lot worse, last a lot longer, and impact the housing market and the economy in worse ways than the 2008 financial crisis did.
I laid out all the details and data in Friday’s article, which you can read here, but today, I want to get into it a little bit more. It’s going to be hard to hear, but it’s absolutely necessary, since it will affect your Total Wealth.
If you thought the worst of the financial crisis was way behind us, you’re about to get a rude awakening.
Mortgage Massacre 2.0 is right around the corner.