Shah Gilani's Archive
Shah Gilani
Wall Street superstar and former hedge fund manager Shah Gilani is the Chief Investment Strategist of Manward Press and at the helm of the Manward Money Report newsletter and the Launch Investor and Alpha Money Flow trading services. He’s a sought-after market commentator and has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business and Bloomberg TV. He’s also been quoted in The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times and The Washington Post, and he’s had columns published in Forbes.
In 1982, he launched his first hedge fund from his seat on the floor of the Chicago Board Options Exchange. He worked in the pit as a market maker when options on the S&P 100 Index first began trading… and was part of a handful of traders who laid the technical groundwork for what would eventually become the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX). He also ran the futures and options division at the largest retail bank in Britain. Shah gained notoriety for calling the implosion of U.S. financial markets (all the way back in February 2008) AND the mega bull run that followed.
Now at the helm of Manward, Shah is focused tightly on one goal: To do his part to make subscribers wealthier, happier and more free.
How a Manufactured or Virtual Recession Could Cause a Market Crash
Not everyone likes to hear good news about the economy.
Typically, political parties out of power want to see seated opponents get clobbered by economic failure.
In this age a real, or virtual recession, could be manufactured given today’s media reach and technological tools when leading to an election if even just in the minds of voters.
So, you need to ask yourself: Is a recession being manufactured right now? Who benefits from a failing economy or just pushing the recession narrative? Could a manufactured recession or incessant recession fearmongering crash the stock market? And, what would happen to you?
Since you just asked by reading those questions, I’m going to answer them for you.
Only, you’re not going to like what’s really happening and how bad it’s going to get.
Lyft’s IPO Won’t Be Worth the Ride
There’s a magical unicorn coming our way, and we’re being offered a ride high into profitable skies if we grab its horn and jump on.
At least that’s what Lyft’s IPO bankers and early investors want us to believe.
The truth is there’s no such thing as a unicorn in real life (in business, a unicorn is a private company that investors claim is worth more than $1 billion), and Lyft isn’t any kind of highflying substitute.
What the upcoming Lyft IPO is more likely to be is a fat payday for bankers, underwriters, and especially early investors, and a bucking-off of late-to-the-party IPO share buyers.
The Frightening Truth Behind the Boeing 737 Max 8 Crashes
As if two new Boeing 737 Max 8 jets crashing and killing 346 people isn’t frightening enough, government investigations might reveal even more frightening news.
Like the fact that Boeing didn’t require pilots who were certified on 737s to get certified on the new Max 8 aircrafts.
Or like the fact that Boeing marketed the cost savings of the lack of these certifications as a positive.
These facts, and yes, they’re facts, not speculation, are just the tip of the iceberg that sank the Titanic, or rather, brought down the 737s.
Today, I’m going to tell you the real story of what happened, most of which has been kept from the public.
And, as a bonus, when Boeing flops, I’ll show you a way to play the airspace sector…
I Want to Own Facebook Stock, But…
There was a time when Facebook Inc. (NasdaqGS:FB) was one of my favorite stocks. I mean, I loved it and thought it would be something I’d probably never sell.
Then, all kinds of negative press hit the stock – and my opinion of its worth.
While I’m presently out of FB, I want to buy back in at some level.
The problem is I don’t think the company’s cleared the hurdles that brought it down. The stock probably has lower to go.
FB has made routine mistakes, and one particular lame maneuver it just pulled says a lot.
Saying Capitalism is “Irredeemable” is Dangerous
Last week at the South by Southwest (SXSW) Conference & Festival in Austin, Texas, freshman New York congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC, for short) pronounced capitalism as being “irredeemable.”
That’s nonsense and, frankly, dangerous talk.
Here’s why capitalism is not irredeemable and what’s dangerous about what AOC is saying…
Any Trade Dispute Resolution with China Will Still be a Problem
While I’m cautiously optimistic there will be a trade dispute announcement out of the proposed late March summit between President Xi Jinping and President Trump, it won’t be great.
In fact, it will probably be just enough of a positive kind of “we’re going to keep working on it and agree to agree” announcement, with lots of concessions and positives to move the markets up, possibly to new highs.
My optimism is based on the needs of both presidents to make nice for their own reasons.
President Trump wants the stock market to go a lot higher and knows clearing the economic forest of tariffs and uncertainty will do that.
President Xi desperately needs a deal because China’s economy is slipping into indebted slow-growth (and possibly stagnation) and exports are still China’s lifeblood.
But, there’s a big difference between the removal of tariffs and a comprehensive trade deal that covers what’s really at the bottom of the two nations’ “trade” dispute.
And the chance of that happening is exactly between slim and none.
Modern Monetary Theory Is Just Plain Stupid
The suddenly simple answer to funding the Green New Deal, Medicare-for-all, free college, and two Teslas in every garage, making the rounds as Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), is a joke.
Only no one should be laughing.
MMT is not only dangerous for reasons that no one’s bothering to bring up, but also it’s just plain stupid.
The Real Problem(s) With the Fed
There’s a problem with the Federal Reserve.
Actually, there are tons of problems with the Fed.
Besides the fact that they shouldn’t exist at all, they are always behind the curve on everything.
Take interest rates, for example.
One of the biggest things the Fed does (the biggest is bailing out their too-big-to-fail bank constituents when they implode into insolvency from their greed) is manipulate interest rates.
The Fed’s original fake mandate was to manipulate rates to effect stable prices – in other words, to curb inflation when it reared its ugly head and guard against deflation when it cast a shadow on the economy.
Not that it matters, because it is what it is, but the Fed’s timing in manipulating rates is mostly what causes inflation or deflation.
Today, we’re going to talk about the wool that’s been pulled over everyone’s eyes, and what the Fed should be doing.
But first, I’m going to share something amazing and potentially very profitable.
Elon Musk’s Twitter Ego Could Destroy Tesla
Elon Musk, the founder, chief executive officer, and former chairman of Tesla Inc. (NasdaqGS:TSLA), is in trouble with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)…
Again.
This time, he’s in hot water for doing what he agreed not to do in the September 2018 settlement he made with the SEC over his infamous August 2018 “Am considering taking Tesla private at $420. Funding secured” tweet.
What happened this time and what led up to it isn’t just a problem for Musk, it’s a problem for Tesla.
Elon Musk and Jussie Smollett Have the Same Problem
Poor Elon Musk, he just can’t get enough attention. Apparently, Jussie Smollett has the same problem.
Good thing for one of them there’s a difference between them.
In terms of their crimes, in Smollett’s case the wrongdoing is alleged, while in Musk’s case he signed his own admission.
I’m not interested in Jussie Smollett’s big part on a waning show on the small screen or his small life off-screen and his desire to be on TMZ, which turned into national news.
But I am very interested to see if the TMZ-lite of Wall Street, the SEC, slaps Elon Musk on the wrist again for his latest crime – or does its job properly, once and for all.
You can follow the Smollett saga on TV (be careful what you wish for, Jussie).
But you’re not going to get the “inside edition” of what’s happening with Tesla Inc. (NasdaqGS:TSLA), what could happen to Musk, and how you can make money on the situation anywhere…
Except for right here at Wall Street Insights & Indictments.